The 10-year US Treasury yield has returned to 5.00%, its highest level since 2007. But this is not simply another inflation story.

The more important question is structural: who clears roughly $2 trillion of annual net Treasury supply as the traditional buyer base changes?

The new EquityTribes publication examines why real yields have driven much of the move, how the financing mix is reshaping the curve, the shift toward more price-sensitive buyers, and what auction quality and leveraged intermediation can tell us about market resilience.

Inside the full publication

  • The fiscal and issuance backdrop.
  • The changing composition of Treasury demand.
  • Real yields, term premium and the shape of the curve.
  • Auction quality, dealer capacity and market plumbing.
  • A three-scenario framework for the coming twelve months.

The full publication is being shared directly rather than posted publicly.

Request the full US Treasury Market Outlook.


This page and the related publication are independent editorial research for informational and educational purposes only. They are not investment, legal or tax advice, a personalized recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Readers should conduct their own research and consult qualified advisers before making financial decisions.